THE CASE FOR A VICTORY
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THE NUMBERS UNDERNEATH
Seven races to watch.
Polling vote shares, with sources and dates.
Small leads are uncertain.
| Senate race | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Party leading | Source / date |
|---|
A polling lead is not a win probability. Averages and individual polls use different methods; the source column identifies which is shown. Older polling is marked. Missing data stays missing.
THE BATTLEGROUND, AT A GLANCE
How close is close?
← Democratic leadRepublican lead →
TAKE A CLOSER LOOK
Inside the race.
Margins are percentage points. Candidate shares use a 0–100% scale.Drawn with Holochart ↗
FOLLOW THE EVIDENCE
Read the sources.
THE CONVERSATION CONTINUES
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